Evan Carter

Evan Carter

21-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Texas Rangers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The back of Carter's baseball card looks pristine and he shined on a big postseason stage, but there is one glaring weakness to acknowledge: his inability to hit lefties. He should be a fantastic option near the top of the lineup against righties and has the speed to steal 20-plus bases. Carter's hard-hit data is middling, especially for a top prospect who is big-league ready. However, he is a master at getting the barrel to the ball and taking opposite-handed pitchers out to the pull side. Carter's 13.4 O-Swing% was incredibly low, especially for a rookie hitter who also slugged .645 in 75 MLB plate appearances. For now, he is a premium platoon prospect. He went hitless with one walk and six strikeouts in 11 plate appearances against big-league lefties and notched one extra-base hit (a double) while striking out 28 times in 106 plate appearances against southpaws at Double-A and Triple-A. The Rangers are loaded, so Carter may platoon, but he could still go 15/20 with a high OBP and won't turn 22 until August. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year contract with the Rangers in March of 2024.
Two hits, homer in win
OFTexas Rangers
April 22, 2024
Carter went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and an additional run scored in Sunday's 6-4 win over Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
Carter put the Rangers on the board with a fourth-inning home run, initiating a comeback from an early 3-0 deficit. The outfielder also notched his first MLB regular-season hit off a lefty when he beat out an infield single. The first month of the season has been a grind for Carter, who opened the season with an 0-for-15 slump and entered Sunday's game with one hit over his previous 20 at-bats. While he's struggled, Carter has managed to contribute with eight of his 15 hits going for extra bases and by drawing a team-high 10 walks.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
12
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+371%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+150%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .214 24 4 0 0 0 .048 .167 .048
Since 2022vs Right 1.007 135 26 8 19 4 .295 .400 .607
2024vs Left .322 13 3 0 0 0 .091 .231 .091
2024vs Right .805 71 12 3 7 1 .233 .338 .467
2023vs Left .091 11 1 0 0 0 .000 .091 .000
2023vs Right 1.238 64 14 5 12 3 .365 .469 .769
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+37%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+37%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+41%
OPS at Home
2022
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home 1.051 67 13 4 11 2 .278 .403 .648
Since 2022Away .767 92 17 4 8 2 .241 .337 .430
2024Home .861 38 7 1 3 0 .233 .395 .467
2024Away .627 46 8 2 4 1 .195 .261 .366
2023Home 1.289 29 6 3 8 2 .333 .414 .875
2023Away .913 46 9 2 4 1 .289 .413 .500
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Evan Carter compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.59
 
BB Rate
11.9%
 
K Rate
20.2%
 
BABIP
.231
 
ISO
.197
 
AVG
.211
 
OBP
.321
 
SLG
.408
 
OPS
.730
 
wOBA
.324
 
Exit Velocity
85.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
29.1%
 
Barrels/PA
3.4%
 
Expected BA
.230
 
Expected SLG
.363
 
Sprint Speed
25.8 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
47.3%
 
Line Drive %
16.4%
 
Fly Ball %
36.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Won't be hitting leadoff
OFTexas Rangers
February 18, 2024
Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports Carter is likely to hit leadoff for the Rangers sometimes during spring training, but the rookie isn't expected to bat there during the regular season.
ANALYSIS
The lefty-hitting outfielder would make a good fit atop the lineup given his 16.2 percent walk rate in 75 big-league plate appearances last season, but Marcus Semien won't be moving out of that spot anytime soon. Carter hasn't experienced a ton of success against lefties throughout his professional career but should still see some starts against them in 2024, as the Rangers want him to work as their primary left fielder and not strictly as a platoon player.
See All MLB Rumors
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Carter, whom the Rangers selected with the 50th overall pick in 2020, finally got to play nearly a full minor-league season and proved himself to be one of the game's top outfield prospects in the process. A stress fracture in his back limited him to 32 games at Single-A in 2021, but his approach as an 18-year-old (.438 OBP, 34 walks, 28 strikeouts) jumped out as a strength. Carter followed that up with a .295/.397/.489 slash line, 17.1 K% and 13.5 BB% while playing 100 games at High-A and six games at Double-A. He hit 12 home runs and went 28-for-41 (68.3% success rate) on stolen base attempts while being one of the youngest hitters at each stop. Carter clearly projects as a leadoff hitter down the road, it's just a matter of projecting how much power he will develop and how many bases he will steal annually. His 28.6 Hard% was fine for a player his age (turned 20 in August) with his plate skills, but that success rate on the bases is a bit discouraging. There's 15-homer/20-steal upside for now, but Carter still has room to improve or regress in the next couple years as he faces better pitching.
More Fantasy News
Removed for pinch hitter
OFTexas Rangers
April 21, 2024
Carter went 1-for-3 in Saturday's 5-2 loss to Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Friday vs. Atlanta
OFTexas Rangers
April 19, 2024
Carter is not in the starting lineup for Friday's game against Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in loss
OFTexas Rangers
April 15, 2024
Carter went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Sunday's 8-5 loss to the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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Gets day off Thursday
OFTexas Rangers
April 11, 2024
Carter is out of the lineup for Thursday's game against the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs first home run
OFTexas Rangers
April 10, 2024
Carter went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's loss to the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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